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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

TPL / Aug 31, 2026 Run #19011

TPL

Texas Pacific Land Corporation

Texas Pacific Land Corporation engages in the land and resource management, and water services and operations businesses. The Land and Resource Management segment manages surface acres of land, and oil and gas royalty interest in Permian Basin. This segment also engages in easements, such as transporting oil, gas and related hydrocarbons, power line and utility, and subsurface wellbore easements. In addition, this segment leases its land for processing, storage, and compression facilities and roads; and is involved in sale of materials, such as caliche, sand, and other material, as well as sells land. The Water Services and Operations segment provides full-service water offerings, including water sourcing, produced-water treatment, infrastructure development, and disposal solutions to operators in the Permian Basin. This segment also holds produced water royalties. The company owns a 1/128th nonparticipating perpetual oil and gas royalty interest (NPRI) under approximately 85,000 acres of land; a 1/16th NPRI under approximately 371,000 acres of land; and approximately 33,000 additional net royalty acres, total of approximately 224,000 NRA located in the Permian Basin. The company was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Composite verdict

F 25.0 / 100
Bearish setup · Channel Break 8 drivers · 5 gates blocking
  • Accumulation/Distribution Line
  • MA Rejection
  • Aroon Oscillator
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 8th of 9 in Oil & Gas E&P

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: range
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 13 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 3Mean-reversion Neutral 50

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -56%
Asset value $21.15Earnings power value $77.10Price $364.38

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($77.10/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Mixed

47.7 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Greenblatt ROC 100
P/S Ratio 0
Net Margin 100
P/B 0
Operating Margin 100
Margin of Safety 0

Technicals Bearish

2.3 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Accumulation/Distribution Line, MA Rejection, Aroon Oscillator); bulls gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Accumulation/Distribution Line 14
MA Rejection 17
Aroon Oscillator 21

Risk Gates

5 blocking 4 caution

5 guards active, 28 signals gated.

Piotroski F-Score Blocking

Bottom-band Piotroski F blocks bullish signals — fundamental-quality risk.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Breakdown

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for TPL.