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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

VLO / Aug 31, 2026 Run #19027

VLO

Valero Energy Corporation

Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brands. The company also owns and operates renewable diesel and ethanol plants, as well as produces and sells renewable diesel, renewable naphtha, and neat sustainable aviation fuel under the Diamond Green Diesel brand name. In addition, it offers ethanol and various co-products, including dry distillers grains, syrup, and inedible distillers corn oil to animal feed customers. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.

Composite verdict

C 55.4 / 100
Bullish setup · Directional State 11 drivers · 3 gates blocking
  • Parabolic SAR Flip
  • 52-Week Proximity
  • Engulfing
Consider long call target Δ ~0.50 · ~35 DTE Bullish setup, Grade C → ITM call target

Industry rank 2nd of 3 in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: uptrend
Bull 100%Evidence: High · 19 signals0% Bear
Momentum Bullish 98Mean-reversion Neutral 52
  • Late-stage trendTrend signals have been live for 159 bars — past the ~60-bar window; momentum edge decays and can reverse late in a move. (medium confidence)
Where value comes fromMargin of safety -64%
Asset value $82.40Earnings power value $74.45Price $352.36

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($74.45/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Weak

10.8 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Inventory Turnover 100
P/E (TTM) 0
Asset Turnover 100
Margin of Safety 0
P/S Ratio 93
Operating Margin 0

Technicals Bullish

100.0 / 100

Bullish setup leads (Parabolic SAR Flip, 52-Week Proximity, Engulfing); bears gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Parabolic SAR Flip 93
52-Week Proximity 92
Engulfing 85

Risk Gates

3 blocking 4 caution

3 guards active, 22 signals gated.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Interest Coverage Caution

Weak interest coverage blocks bullish signals — debt-service risk.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for VLO.