Skip to main content

Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

AOS / Aug 31, 2026 Run #19046

AOS

A. O. Smith Corporation

A. O. Smith Corporation manufactures and markets residential and commercial gas and electric water heaters, boilers, heat pumps, tanks, and water treatment products in North America, China, Europe, and India. The company offers water heaters for residences, restaurants, hotels, office buildings, laundries, car washes, and small businesses; boilers for hospitals, schools, hotels, homes, apartments, and condominiums, and other large commercial buildings; and water treatment products comprising point-of-entry water softeners, well water solutions, and whole-home water filtration products, and point-of-use carbon and reverse osmosis products for residences, restaurants, hotels, and offices. It also provides commercial water treatment and filtration products; expansion tanks, commercial solar water heating systems, swimming pool and spa heaters, and related products and parts; and electric wall-hung, gas tankless, combi-boiler, and heat pump and solar water heaters. The company offers its products under the A. O. Smith, State, Lochinvar, Hague, Water-Right, Master Water, Atlantic Filter, Impact, and Water Tec brands. It distributes its products through independent wholesale plumbing distributors, as well as to retail channels consisting of hardware and home center chains, and manufacturer representative firms, as well as offers Aquasana branded products directly to consumers through e-commerce channels; and A. O. Smith branded water treatment products through dealer network and Amazon. A. O. Smith Corporation was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Composite verdict

D 35.3 / 100
Bearish setup · Trend Following 9 drivers · 3 gates blocking
  • Parabolic SAR Flip
  • Accumulation/Distribution Line
  • Vortex Signal
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 10th of 17 in Specialty Industrial Machinery

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: range
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 16 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 5Mean-reversion Neutral 50

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -69%
Asset value $16.88Earnings power value $56.37Price $59.30

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($56.37/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Strong

70.1 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Return on Assets 100
Margin of Safety 0
Greenblatt EY 100
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1
Return on Capital Employed 100
Inventory Turnover 15

Technicals Bearish

0.5 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Parabolic SAR Flip, Accumulation/Distribution Line, Vortex Signal); bulls gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Accumulation/Distribution Line 6
Parabolic SAR Flip 8
Vortex Signal 8

Risk Gates

3 blocking 4 caution

3 guards active, 26 signals gated.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Cash Ratio Caution

Visual cash-cushion flag — does not mute signals.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

Empty pane

Pick a category, above, to crack it open.

Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for AOS.