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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

AVB / Aug 31, 2026 Run #19073

AVB

AvalonBay Communities Inc

AvalonBay Communities, Inc., a member of S&P 500, is an equity REIT. The firm develops, redevelops, acquires and manages apartment communities in leading metropolitan areas in Boston, Massachusetts, the New York/New Jersey Metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, Seattle, Washington, and Northern and Southern California, as well as in the Company's expansion regions of Raleigh-Durham and Charlotte, North Carolina, Southeast Florida, Dallas and Austin, Texas, and Denver, Colorado. As of June 30, 2026, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 322 apartment communities containing 99,072 apartment homes in 11 states and the District of Columbia, of which 27 communities were under development and one community was under redevelopment. AvalonBay Communities, Inc. was incorporated in 1978 in Maryland and is based in Arlington, Virginia.

Composite verdict

F 24.3 / 100
Bearish setup · Trend Following 14 drivers · 5 gates blocking
  • Rate of Change
  • Relative Strength vs SPY
  • Sector Relative Strength
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 6th of 7 in REIT - Residential

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: volatile downtrend
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 20 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 1Mean-reversion Neutral 50

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -59%
Asset value $81.31Earnings power value $60.21Price $184.06

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($60.21/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Mixed

48.7 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Dividend Yield 86
PEGY 0
P/E (TTM) 82
Margin of Safety 0
Return on Invested Capital 81
OCF to Net Income 0

Technicals Bearish

0.0 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Rate of Change, Relative Strength vs SPY, Sector Relative Strength); bulls gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Rate of Change 15
Vortex Signal 16
Sector Relative Strength 17

Risk Gates

5 blocking 7 caution

5 guards active, 23 signals gated.

Net Debt / EBITDA Blocking

High net debt / EBITDA blocks bullish signals — credit-leverage risk.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

Empty pane

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for AVB.