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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

PGR / Aug 31, 2026 Run #19093

PGR

The Progressive Corporation

The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States. It writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products, including motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft; and personal residential property insurance for homeowners and renters. The company also writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance for comprising dump trucks, log trucks, garbage trucks, tractors, trailers, straight trucks, tow trucks and wreckers, vans, pick-up trucks, and autos; business-related general liability and commercial property insurance for small businesses; and workers' compensation insurance for the transportation industry. In addition, it offers other specialty property-casualty insurance and provides related services; personal property reinsurance products; and involved in investment activities. It sells its products through independent insurance agencies, as well as online and over the phone. The Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mayfield, Ohio.

Composite verdict

A 80.8 / 100
Bullish setup · Trend Following 15 drivers · 4 gates blocking
  • MA Rejection
  • Vortex Signal
  • Coppock Curve
Consider long call target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bullish setup, Grade A → ITM call target

Industry rank 3rd of 8 in Insurance - Property & Casualty

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: range
Bull 100%Evidence: High · 20 signals0% Bear
Momentum Bullish 98Mean-reversion Neutral 50

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -64%
Asset value $52.18Earnings power value $238.16Price $218.50

The discount is mostly unpriced earnings power: price ($218.50) sits between asset value ($52.18) and no-growth earnings power value ($238.16).

Fundamentals Above average

61.5 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
EPS Growth (YoY) 100
Margin of Safety 0
Free Cash Flow Yield 100
OCF to Net Income 0
Asset Turnover 89
Dividend Yield 5

Technicals Bullish

100.0 / 100

Bullish setup leads (MA Rejection, Vortex Signal, Coppock Curve); bears gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Vortex Signal 89
Coppock Curve 87
MA Rejection 86

Risk Gates

4 blocking 2 caution

4 guards active, 20 signals gated.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for PGR.