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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

PFS / Jun 12, 2026 Run #4811

PFS

Provident Financial Services, Inc.

Provident Financial Services, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Provident Bank that provides various banking products and services to individuals, families, and businesses in the United States. Its deposit products include savings, checking, interest-bearing checking, money market deposit, and certificate of deposit accounts, as well as IRA products. The company's loan portfolio comprises commercial real estate loans that are secured by properties, such as multi-family apartment buildings, retail and industrial properties, and office buildings; commercial business loans; fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgage loans collateralized by one- to four-family residential real estate properties; residential mortgage loans; commercial construction loans; and consumer loans consisting of home equity loans, home equity lines of credit, personal loans and unsecured lines of credit, and auto and recreational vehicle loans. It also offers cash management, remote deposit capture, payroll origination, escrow account management, and online and mobile banking services; and business credit cards. In addition, the company provides wealth management services comprising investment management, trust and estate administration, financial planning, and tax compliance and planning; and insurance agency operations. Further, it sells insurance and investment products, including annuities; and manages and sells real estate properties acquired through foreclosure. The company was founded in 1839 and is headquartered in Jersey City, New Jersey.

Composite verdict

A 83.1 / 100
Bullish setup · Trend Following 14 drivers · 3 gates blocking
  • Accumulation/Distribution Line
  • Elder Force Index
  • MACD Signal Cross
Consider long call target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bullish setup, Grade A → ITM call target

Industry rank 27th of 329 in Banks - Regional

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: range
Bull 100%Evidence: High · 22 signals0% Bear
Momentum Bullish 96Mean-reversion Neutral 51
  • Mixed signalsTrend and mean-reversion disagree — low conviction; the directional families point opposite ways. (medium confidence)
Where value comes fromMargin of safety -5%
Asset value $21.74Earnings power value $11.32Price $23.25

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($11.32/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Above average

66.2 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
EPS Growth (YoY) 100
OCF to Net Income 0
FCF Margin 100
Days Sales Outstanding 0
Free Cash Flow Yield 100
Asset Turnover 8

Technicals Bullish

100.0 / 100

Bullish setup leads (Accumulation/Distribution Line, Elder Force Index, MACD Signal Cross); bears gated by guards. · 43 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Accumulation/Distribution Line 98
MACD Signal Cross 87
Elder Force Index 86

Risk Gates

3 blocking 3 caution

3 guards active, 19 signals gated.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Interest Coverage Caution

Weak interest coverage blocks bullish signals — debt-service risk.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for PFS.