UBER

Valuation expressed against the cash actually available to all capital providers after capex. Often more honest than EV/EBITDA when capital expenditure is meaningful relative to depreciation, because EBITDA ignores capex entirely while FCF reflects it. The cleanest single-number 'what would I pay to own this whole business?' valuation lens for capital-intensive firms.

Lower is generally better for shareholder cash returns — less of every dollar of revenue gets reinvested in maintaining the asset base. But very low values can flag under-investment in a capital-intensive business, which catches up later via deteriorating capacity or competitiveness. Pairs with FCF margin to separate 'thin operating margin' from 'fat operating margin offset by heavy capex'.

Sanity-check on earnings quality — a ratio of 1.0 means every dollar of GAAP earnings shows up as free cash flow. Persistently below 1.0 means working-capital build or capex is consuming earnings; persistently above 1.0 is unusual and may flag accounting conservatism (heavy non-cash charges) or a one-time release. Trend matters more than absolute level.

End-to-end conversion ratio: of every dollar of revenue, how much falls through to genuine free cash flow available to all capital providers? More honest than net margin because it accounts for the capex needed to maintain (and grow) the business. The single best indicator of whether the business is a quality compounder or a GAAP-earnings illusion.

Free cash flow the business throws off, divided by what the market currently charges for the equity. Treats the equity claim as a perpetual stream of free cash. More honest than earnings yield because it reflects the cash actually available to shareholders after all reinvestment. Cyclicals can swing below zero in a downturn — read with the trailing-cycle range.

Joel Greenblatt's reformulation of return-on-capital, designed to filter for businesses that earn high pre-tax returns on the tangible operating capital that actually generates EBIT. Excludes goodwill, acquired intangibles, and financial assets so that two firms with the same operating economics rank similarly regardless of acquisition history. Pairs with Greenblatt's Earnings Yield (EBIT/EV) to produce the famous 'Magic Formula' rank — quality stocks at value prices.

Operating margin minus interest, tax, and below-the-line items. Useful but noisier than operating margin: tax rate changes, debt-service shifts, and one-time items can move net margin year-over-year even when the operating business is unchanged. Always pair with operating margin and FCF margin — divergence between them is a tell about leverage, tax structure, or earnings quality.

Pre-capex version of cash conversion: compares operating cash flow directly to net income, before subtracting capex. Numbers persistently below 1.0 suggest accruals are doing the work (revenue recognised before cash collected, or expenses deferred). Numbers above 1.0 are typically driven by D&A exceeding true economic depreciation — a mild positive sign but not always meaningful.

Capital-efficiency measure that ignores how the assets are financed. Useful for comparing within a sector but heavily biased by industry — banks and utilities run low ROA by design (huge balance sheets), software and franchise businesses run high ROA (asset-light). The DuPont decomposition links it to ROE: ROE = ROA × (assets / equity) × (1/(1-tax)), so leverage inflates the gap between ROA and ROE.

The headline profitability metric. Net income divided by average book equity tells you how productive each dollar of shareholders' capital is. High sustained ROE compounds book value when the business can reinvest at a similar return. Two warnings: ROE rises mechanically with leverage (high D/E inflates ROE without making the business better), and aggressive buybacks can shrink the equity denominator faster than they shrink earnings, artificially boosting ROE even as fundamental returns are flat.

Top-line growth — the cleanest way to see whether the franchise is expanding. Best read alongside margin trend: revenue rising while margin compresses is often discount-driven volume rather than real growth, and can mask underlying weakness. Compare to industry peers — what looks weak in absolute terms can be best-in-sector if the industry is contracting.

Strips out receivables and inventory entirely, leaving only cash and equivalents over current liabilities. Stress-tests whether the business can meet its near-term obligations even if collections seize up and inventory becomes unsaleable. The harshest, simplest liquidity check — used as a credit-stress indicator.

Useful complement to debt-to-equity. Banks, REITs, and post-buyback firms can carry small or even negative book equity, which makes D/E unstable; D/A stays well-behaved because total assets is always positive. Industry context still matters — utilities run higher than software by design — but the comparability across capital structures is much better.

How much the company funds itself with debt vs. equity. Higher leverage amplifies both returns (through ROE) and risk (through interest coverage and refinancing exposure). The 'right' level varies enormously by industry — utilities and REITs run higher than industrials, software runs near zero. Becomes unstable when book equity is small or negative; complement with debt-to-assets in those cases.

Strips out short-term operating debt and revolver use to focus on the permanent capital structure. Useful when comparing companies that fund working capital differently — a high D/E that's mostly short-term commercial paper means something different from a high D/E that's mostly long-dated bonds. Watch refinancing maturities alongside the level.

Bond covenants are commonly written against this ratio because it directly answers 'how many years of operating cash earnings would it take to retire all the debt?' Above ~5x is high-yield territory for industrials; investment-grade industrials typically run below 3x. Negative net debt (more cash than debt) means the firm could pay off its bonds and still hold cash — a common position for mature tech.

How long the average sale sits as a receivable before becoming cash. Earnings-quality flag: receivables growing faster than revenue is one of the cleanest tells for revenue recognition stretching — Beneish flagged exactly this pattern as a primary fraud indicator. Industry context matters: B2B / project businesses run longer DSO than retail, but the trend is more important than the level.

Edward Altman's 1968 five-factor distress signal, originally calibrated against US public manufacturers that went bankrupt vs. those that didn't. Above 3.0 is the conventional 'safe' zone, 1.8–3.0 is the grey zone, below 1.8 historically associates with elevated bankruptcy risk within two years. Less reliable for non-manufacturing businesses, financial firms, and asset-light franchises — but the conceptual frame (liquidity + profitability + leverage cushion) translates broadly.

Richard Sloan's 1996 accruals-quality measure. Persistent positive accruals (net income meaningfully exceeds cash flow) tend to mean-revert via earnings disappointments — Sloan documented that high-accruals firms underperform low-accruals firms over the following year. Large negative values are usually fine but can flag one-time working-capital releases or non-cash drags. Phase D-2 made this a target-window metric centred on zero.

Fires on the bar where the MACD line (EMA12 minus EMA26) crosses through the signal line (EMA9 of MACD). Bullish when MACD crosses up through signal, bearish when it crosses down. Far more commonly used as a trade trigger than divergence — see macd_divergence for the slower confirmatory tell. Whipsaws in chop; cleanest when combined with a trend-regime filter.

+1 on bullish cross (MACD crosses up through signal); -1 on bearish cross (MACD crosses down through signal); 0 otherwise.

+1 = bullish MACD-signal cross, -1 = bearish MACD-signal cross.

ADX (Average Directional Index) measures trend strength regardless of direction — high ADX means a strong trend (in either direction), low ADX means chop. Below ~20 historically associates with sideways/choppy markets unfavourable to trend strategies and favourable to mean-reversion strategies. Used as a regime gate to disable trend-following systems when the tape isn't trending.

+1 while ADX is below the threshold (weak trend); 0 otherwise.

+1 = weak trend (chop) — typically a signal to disable trend strategies, not to trade direction.