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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

PGR / Jul 17, 2026 Run #6185

PGR

The Progressive Corporation

The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States. It writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products, including motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft; and personal residential property insurance for homeowners and renters. The company also writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance for comprising dump trucks, log trucks, garbage trucks, tractors, trailers, straight trucks, tow trucks and wreckers, vans, pick-up trucks, and autos; business-related general liability and commercial property insurance for small businesses; and workers' compensation insurance for the transportation industry. In addition, it offers other specialty property-casualty insurance and provides related services; personal property reinsurance products; and involved in investment activities. It sells its products through independent insurance agencies, as well as online and over the phone. The Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mayfield, Ohio.

Composite verdict

B 67.0 / 100
Gated stand-aside 0 drivers · 4 gates blocking
Stand aside Setup or conviction grade does not support a directional trade.

Industry rank 5th of 8 in Insurance - Property & Casualty

rescore-sweep
Where value comes fromMargin of safety -65%
Asset value $52.16Earnings power value $213.86Price $207.82

The discount is mostly unpriced earnings power: price ($207.82) sits between asset value ($52.16) and no-growth earnings power value ($213.86).

Fundamentals Above average

67.0 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
EPS Growth (YoY) 100
Margin of Safety 0
Total Shareholder Yield 100
OCF to Net Income 0
Free Cash Flow Yield 100
P/B 2

Technicals Unscored

/ 100

Stand aside — active guards gated the directional signals that fired. · 44 signals shown.

Risk Gates

4 blocking 2 caution

4 guards active, 44 signals gated.

Earnings Event Blackout Blocking

Mutes all technical signals within the earnings announcement window when earnings dates are available.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Breakdown

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for PGR.