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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

CHDN / Jun 20, 2026 Run #7186

CHDN

Churchill Downs Incorporated

Churchill Downs Incorporated operates live and historical racing entertainment venues, online wagering businesses, and regional casino gaming properties in the United States. It operates through three segments: Live and Historical Racing, Wagering Services and Solutions, and Gaming. The Live and Historical Racing segment engages in live and historical pari-mutuel racing related activities at Churchill Downs Racetrack and its historical racing properties in Kentucky, Virginia, and New Hampshire; provides racing event-related services, including admissions, personal seat licenses, sponsorships, television rights, and other miscellaneous services, as well as food and beverages services. The Wagering Services and Solutions engages in pari-mutuel wagers through TwinSpires, which operates the online horse racing wagering business for TwinSpires.com, BetAmerica.com, and other white-label platforms; facilitates dollar wagering; provides the Bloodstock Research Information Services platform for horse racing statistical data; offers streaming video of live horse races, replays, and an assortment of racing and handicapping information; and provides technology services to third parties. This segment also operates retail and online sports betting businesses, United Tote, which manufactures and operates pari-mutuel wagering systems for racetracks, OTBs, and other pari-mutuel wagering businesses, and Exacta, which provides central determinant system technology in HRMs. The Gaming segment operates the casino properties and associated racetracks, which include slot machines, table games, video lottery terminals, video poker, HRMs, ancillary food and beverage services, hotel services, commission on pari-mutuel wagering, racing event-related services, and other miscellaneous operations. Churchill Downs Incorporated was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

Composite verdict

F 24.3 / 100
Bearish setup · Mean Reversion 12 drivers · 8 gates blocking
  • Accumulation/Distribution Line
  • Chaikin Money Flow
  • Commodity Channel Index
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 7th of 13 in Gambling

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: range
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 17 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 37Mean-reversion Bearish 16

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -70%
Asset value $14.49Earnings power value $9.11Price $88.27

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($9.11/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Mixed

48.3 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Days Sales Outstanding 100
Margin of Safety 0
Inventory Turnover 100
OCF to Net Income 0
Cash Conversion Cycle 92
Total Shareholder Yield 0

Technicals Bearish

0.3 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Accumulation/Distribution Line, Chaikin Money Flow, Commodity Channel Index); bulls gated by guards. · 43 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Accumulation/Distribution Line 2
Chaikin Money Flow 5
Commodity Channel Index 9

Risk Gates

8 blocking 4 caution

8 guards active, 21 signals gated.

Altman Z-Score Blocking

Bottom-band Altman Z blocks bullish signals — distress risk.

Debt-to-Assets Blocking

High debt-to-assets blocks bullish signals — balance-sheet leverage risk.

Debt-to-Equity Blocking

High debt-to-equity blocks bullish signals — leverage risk.

LT Debt-to-Equity Blocking

High long-term D/E blocks bullish signals — structural-leverage risk.

Breakdown

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for CHDN.