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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

TOL / Jun 20, 2026 Run #7245

TOL

Toll Brothers, Inc.

Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. It designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. The company also develops a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs, as well as communities with recreational amenities, such as golf courses, marinas, pool complexes, country clubs, and fitness and recreation centers; and develops, operates, rents apartments and student housing communities. In addition, it provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, the company owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and component manufacturing operations. It serves luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.

Composite verdict

A 79.2 / 100
Bullish setup · Trend Following 16 drivers · 4 gates blocking
  • Accumulation/Distribution Line
  • Chaikin Money Flow
  • Rate of Change
Consider long call target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bullish setup, Grade A → ITM call target

Industry rank 2nd of 21 in Residential Construction

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: volatile uptrend
Bull 100%Evidence: High · 21 signals0% Bear
Momentum Bullish 96Mean-reversion Neutral 50

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -37%
Asset value $88.48Earnings power value $136.01Price $155.67

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($136.01/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Above average

58.3 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Days Sales Outstanding 100
Inventory Turnover 0
EPS Growth (YoY) 100
Cash Conversion Cycle 0
EBITDA Margin 88
PEGY 4

Technicals Bullish

100.0 / 100

Bullish setup leads (Accumulation/Distribution Line, Chaikin Money Flow, Rate of Change); bears gated by guards. · 43 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Accumulation/Distribution Line 96
Rate of Change 92
Chaikin Money Flow 89

Risk Gates

4 blocking 3 caution

4 guards active, 19 signals gated.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for TOL.