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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

HOG / Jun 20, 2026 Run #7256

HOG

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Harley-Davidson, Inc. manufactures and sells motorcycles in the United States and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Harley-Davidson Motor Company, LiveWire, and Harley-Davidson Financial Services. The Harley-Davidson Motor Company segment designs, manufactures, and sells motorcycles, including cruiser, trike, Grand American touring, standard, sportbike, adventure touring, and dual sport, as well as motorcycle parts, accessories, and apparel, as well as licenses its trademarks and related services. This segment sells its products to retail customers through a network of independent dealers, as well as e-commerce channels. The LiveWire segment sells electric motorcycles, balance bikes for kids, electric bikes, parts and accessories, apparel, and related parts and services. The Harley-Davidson Financial Services segment provides wholesale financing services, such as floorplan and open-account financing of motorcycles, and parts and accessories; and retail financing services, such as installment lending for the purchase of new and used Harley-Davidson motorcycles, as well as point-of-sale insurance and voluntary protection products. This segment also licenses third-party financial institutions that issue credit cards bearing the Harley-Davidson brand. Harley-Davidson, Inc. was founded in 1903 and is based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Composite verdict

A 84.9 / 100
Bullish setup · Trend Following 11 drivers · 3 gates blocking
  • Elder Force Index
  • MACD Signal Cross
  • Chaikin Money Flow
Consider long call target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bullish setup, Grade A → ITM call target

Industry rank 1st of 16 in Recreational Vehicles

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: range
Bull 100%Evidence: High · 17 signals0% Bear
Momentum Bullish 100Mean-reversion Neutral 50

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety +3%
Asset value $29.83Earnings power value $35.20Price $25.67

Trading below its asset value ($29.83/share) — deep value, but check for a melting balance sheet.

Fundamentals Above average

69.9 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Days Sales Outstanding 100
OCF to Net Income 0
Free Cash Flow Yield 100
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0
Earnings Yield 87
EPS Growth (YoY) 0

Technicals Bullish

100.0 / 100

Bullish setup leads (Elder Force Index, MACD Signal Cross, Chaikin Money Flow); bears gated by guards. · 43 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Elder Force Index 89
MACD Signal Cross 88
Chaikin Money Flow 88

Risk Gates

3 blocking 5 caution

3 guards active, 24 signals gated.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Altman Z-Score Caution

Bottom-band Altman Z blocks bullish signals — distress risk.

Breakdown

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for HOG.