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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

MTG / Jun 21, 2026 Run #7276

MTG

MGIC Investment Corporation

MGIC Investment Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides private mortgage insurance, other mortgage credit risk management solutions, and ancillary services in the United States, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Guam. The company offers primary insurance that provides mortgage default protection on individual loans, as well as covers unpaid loan principal, delinquent interest, and various expenses associated with the default and subsequent foreclosure on the mortgage or sale of the underlying property. It also provides contract underwriting services, as well as reinsurance services. The company serves originators of residential mortgage loans, including savings institutions, commercial banks, mortgage brokers, credit unions, mortgage bankers, and other lenders. The company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Composite verdict

D 33.1 / 100
Bearish setup · Reversal 9 drivers · 4 gates blocking
  • Engulfing
  • Relative Strength vs SPY
  • Stochastic RSI
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 8th of 17 in Insurance - Specialty

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: range
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 17 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 21Mean-reversion Bearish 30

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -4%
Asset value $24.34Earnings power value $35.52Price $26.06

The discount is mostly unpriced earnings power: price ($26.06) sits between asset value ($24.34) and no-growth earnings power value ($35.52).

Fundamentals Above average

66.1 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Earnings Yield 100
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2
Free Cash Flow Yield 100
P/S Ratio 25
PEG 96
EV/Sales 25

Technicals Bearish

0.1 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Engulfing, Relative Strength vs SPY, Stochastic RSI); bulls gated by guards. · 43 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Relative Strength vs SPY 10
Engulfing 14
MA Rejection 15

Risk Gates

4 blocking 3 caution

4 guards active, 24 signals gated.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Breakdown

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for MTG.