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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

ALAB / Jun 21, 2026 Run #7375

ALAB

Astera Labs, Inc.

Astera Labs, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells semiconductor-based connectivity solutions for cloud and AI infrastructure in Taiwan and the United States. It offers an intelligent connectivity platform, comprised of semiconductor-based, high-speed, mixed-signal connectivity products that integrate a matrix of microcontrollers and sensors, and COSMOS. The company provides COSMOS software suite, a connectivity system management and optimization software that enables management and optimization of resources for large fleets at cloud-scale via link, fleet, and RAS management capabilities. In addition, it offers PCIe/CXL smart DSP retimers and cable modules; ethernet smart cable modules for cloud and AI infrastructure; CXL memory connectivity controllers; and smart fabric switches. The company serves hyperscalers and system original equipment manufacturers. Astera Labs, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is based in San Jose, California.

Composite verdict

B 72.3 / 100
Bullish setup · Trend Following 17 drivers · 3 gates blocking
  • MACD Signal Cross
  • Rate of Change
  • Trendline Break
Consider long call target Δ ~0.60 · ~35 DTE Bullish setup, Grade B → ITM call target

Industry rank 10th of 70 in Semiconductors

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: volatile uptrend
Bull 100%Evidence: High · 18 signals0% Bear
Momentum Bullish 99Mean-reversion Neutral 50

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -96%
Asset value $7.96Earnings power value $9.83Price $417.07

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($9.83/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Mixed

44.5 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
EPS Growth (YoY) 100
Margin of Safety 0
Revenue Growth (YoY) 100
Free Cash Flow Yield 0
Days Sales Outstanding 91
Earnings Yield 0

Technicals Bullish

100.0 / 100

Bullish setup leads (MACD Signal Cross, Rate of Change, Trendline Break); bears gated by guards. · 43 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
MACD Signal Cross 93
Rate of Change 92
Trendline Break 91

Risk Gates

3 blocking 6 caution

3 guards active, 21 signals gated.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Cash Ratio Caution

Visual cash-cushion flag — does not mute signals.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for ALAB.