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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

MRP / Jun 21, 2026 Run #7429

MRP

Millrose Properties, Inc.

Millrose Properties, Inc. is the premier homesite option platform for residential homebuilders. The company specializes in the acquisition and horizontal development of land to provide a predictable, just-in-time supply of finished homesites – the scarcest and mission-critical resource in the homebuilding industry. Unlike traditional land bankers, Millrose utilizes a proprietary technology platform that provides real-time feedback and data analytics to drive acquisition decisions. Every transaction in the Millrose portfolio undergoes rigorous independent due diligence to ensure attractive yields and long-term viability. By enabling an asset-light model, Millrose provides its diverse roster of homebuilder partners with the strategic flexibility to maintain production volumes and optimize balance sheet efficiency across all market environments. Millrose Properties, Inc.is based in Miami, United States.

Composite verdict

D 38.7 / 100
Bearish setup · Mean Reversion 10 drivers · 3 gates blocking
  • Chaikin Money Flow
  • Parabolic SAR Flip
  • Relative Strength vs SPY
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 10th of 22 in REIT - Residential

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: range
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 18 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 20Mean-reversion Bearish 31

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety +20%
Asset value $37.97Earnings power value $19.76Price $28.40

The discount is mostly unpriced earnings power: price ($28.40) sits between asset value ($37.97) and no-growth earnings power value ($19.76).

Fundamentals Strong

76.9 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Total Shareholder Yield 100
OCF to Net Income 0
FCF Margin 100
Cash Conversion 0
Free Cash Flow Yield 100
Payout Ratio 0

Technicals Bearish

0.4 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Chaikin Money Flow, Parabolic SAR Flip, Relative Strength vs SPY); bulls gated by guards. · 43 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Chaikin Money Flow 13
Parabolic SAR Flip 15
Relative Strength vs SPY 17

Risk Gates

3 blocking 7 caution

3 guards active, 20 signals gated.

Net Debt / EBITDA Blocking

High net debt / EBITDA blocks bullish signals — credit-leverage risk.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Altman Z-Score Caution

Bottom-band Altman Z blocks bullish signals — distress risk.

Breakdown

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for MRP.