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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

AOS / Jun 21, 2026 Run #7441

AOS

A. O. Smith Corporation

A. O. Smith Corporation manufactures and markets residential and commercial gas and electric water heaters, boilers, heat pumps, tanks, and water treatment products in North America, China, Europe, and India. The company offers water heaters for residences, restaurants, hotels, office buildings, laundries, car washes, and small businesses; boilers for hospitals, schools, hotels, homes, apartments, and condominiums, and other large commercial buildings; and water treatment products comprising point-of-entry water softeners, well water solutions, and whole-home water filtration products, and point-of-use carbon and reverse osmosis products for residences, restaurants, hotels, and offices. It also provides commercial water treatment and filtration products; expansion tanks, commercial solar water heating systems, swimming pool and spa heaters, and related products and parts; and electric wall-hung, gas tankless, combi-boiler, and heat pump and solar water heaters. The company offers its products under the A. O. Smith, State, Lochinvar, Hague, Water-Right, Master Water, Atlantic Filter, Impact, and Water Tec brands. It distributes its products through independent wholesale plumbing distributors, as well as to retail channels consisting of hardware and home center chains, and manufacturer representative firms, as well as offers Aquasana branded products directly to consumers through e-commerce channels; and A. O. Smith branded water treatment products through dealer network and Amazon. A. O. Smith Corporation was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Composite verdict

D 38.0 / 100
Bearish setup · Reversal 9 drivers · 3 gates blocking
  • Multi Top/Bottom
  • Accumulation/Distribution Line
  • Stochastic RSI
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 35th of 79 in Specialty Industrial Machinery

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: range
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 19 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 21Mean-reversion Bearish 35

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -68%
Asset value $16.59Earnings power value $55.40Price $58.22

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($55.40/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Strong

75.1 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Cash Conversion 100
Margin of Safety 0
Asset Turnover 92
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1
Return on Capital Employed 90
Inventory Turnover 15

Technicals Bearish

1.0 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Multi Top/Bottom, Accumulation/Distribution Line, Stochastic RSI); bulls gated by guards. · 43 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Accumulation/Distribution Line 13
Stochastic RSI 15
Multi Top/Bottom 16

Risk Gates

3 blocking 3 caution

3 guards active, 22 signals gated.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Cash Ratio Caution

Visual cash-cushion flag — does not mute signals.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

Empty pane

Pick a category, above, to crack it open.

Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for AOS.