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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

CMC / Jun 21, 2026 Run #7493

CMC

Commercial Metals Company

Commercial Metals Company manufactures, recycles, and fabricates steel and metal products, and related materials and services in the United States, Poland, China, and internationally. It operates through three segments: North America Steel Group; Europe Steel Group; and Emerging Businesses Group. The company processes and sells ferrous and nonferrous scrap metals to steel mills and foundries, aluminum sheet and ingot manufacturers, brass and bronze ingot makers, copper refineries and mills, secondary lead smelters, specialty steel mills, high temperature alloy manufacturers, and other consumers. It also manufactures and sells finished long steel products, including reinforcing bar, merchant bar, light structural, wire rod, and other special sections, as well as semi-finished billets for rerolling and forging applications. In addition, the company provides fabricated rebar used to reinforce concrete primarily in the construction of commercial and non-commercial buildings, hospitals, convention centers, industrial plants, power plants, highways, bridges, arenas, stadiums, and dams; sells and rents construction-related products and equipment to concrete installers and other businesses; and manufactures and sells strength bars for the truck trailer industry, special bar steels for the energy market, and armor plates for military vehicles. Further, it sells wire meshes, welded steel mesh, wire rod, cold rolled rebar, cold rolled wire rod, assembled rebar cages and other fabricated rebar by-products to fabricators, manufacturers, distributors, and construction companies. The company was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

Composite verdict

B 64.8 / 100
Bullish setup · Oscillator 9 drivers · 4 gates blocking
  • Williams %R
  • Fibonacci Retracement
  • Chaikin Money Flow
Consider long call target Δ ~0.60 · ~35 DTE Bullish setup, Grade B → ITM call target

Industry rank 5th of 18 in Metal Fabrication

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: volatile range
Bull 100%Evidence: High · 17 signals0% Bear
Momentum Bullish 87Mean-reversion Bullish 61

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -38%
Asset value $37.81Earnings power value $38.63Price $72.36

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($38.63/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Weak

30.6 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Revenue Growth (YoY) 100
OCF to Net Income 0
Forward P/E 75
Cash Conversion 0
EV/Sales 75
Payout Ratio 0

Technicals Bullish

99.1 / 100

Bullish setup leads (Williams %R, Fibonacci Retracement, Elder Force Index); bears gated by guards. · 43 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Williams %R 96
Fibonacci Retracement 79
Chaikin Money Flow 74

Risk Gates

4 blocking 3 caution

4 guards active, 23 signals gated.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Breakdown

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for CMC.