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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

TSCO / Jun 21, 2026 Run #7527

TSCO

Tractor Supply Company

Tractor Supply Company operates as a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States. The company provides various merchandise, including livestock and equine feed and equipment, poultry, fencing, and sprayers and chemicals; companion animal products, such as food, treats, and equipment for dogs, cats, and other small animals, as well as dog wellness products; seasonal and recreation products comprising tractors and riders, lawn and garden, bird feeding, power equipment, and other recreational products; truck, tool, and hardware products, such as truck accessories, trailers, generators, lubricants, batteries, and hardware and tools; and clothing, gift, and décor products consist of clothing, footwear, toys, snacks, and decorative merchandise. It offers its products under the 4health, Paws & Claws, American Farmworks, Producer's Pride, Bit & Bridle, Red Shed, Blue Mountain, Redstone, C.E. Schmidt, Retriever, Country Lane, Ridgecut, Countyline, Royal Wing, Country Tuff, Strive, Dumor, Traveller, Farm Table, Treeline, Groundwork, TSC Tractor Supply Co, Huskee, Untamed, JobSmart, and Impeckable brand names. The company operates its retail stores under the Tractor Supply Company, Petsense by Tractor Supply, and Orscheln Farm and Home names; and operates websites under the TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com names. It sells its products to recreational farmers, ranchers, and others. Tractor Supply Company was founded in 1938 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.

Composite verdict

F 28.1 / 100
Bearish setup · Crossover 4 drivers · 3 gates blocking
  • Vortex Signal
  • Elder Force Index
  • Keltner Channels
Consider long put target Δ ~0.60 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade B → ITM put target

Industry rank 25th of 48 in Specialty Retail

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: downtrend
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 18 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 6Mean-reversion Neutral 45
  • Late-stage trendTrend signals have been live for 98 bars — past the ~60-bar window; momentum edge decays and can reverse late in a move. (medium confidence)
Where value comes fromMargin of safety -72%
Asset value $4.92Earnings power value $24.45Price $30.24

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($24.45/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Above average

55.2 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Days Sales Outstanding 100
PEGY 0
Payout Ratio 87
PEG 0
Dividend Yield 77
Margin of Safety 0

Technicals Bearish

1.0 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Vortex Signal, Elder Force Index, Keltner Channels); bulls gated by guards. · 43 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Vortex Signal 14
Elder Force Index 18
Keltner Channels 22

Risk Gates

3 blocking 6 caution

3 guards active, 24 signals gated.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Cash Ratio Caution

Visual cash-cushion flag — does not mute signals.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for TSCO.