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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

ULTA / Jun 21, 2026 Run #7549

ULTA

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

Ulta Beauty, Inc. operates as a specialty beauty retailer in the United States, Mexico, and Kuwait. The company offers branded and private label beauty products, including cosmetics, fragrance, haircare, skincare, bath and body products, professional hair products, and salon styling tools through its Ulta Beauty stores, shop-in-shops, Ulta.com website, and its mobile applications. It also provides wellness products. The company was formerly known as ULTA Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. and changed its name to Ulta Beauty, Inc. in January 2017. Ulta Beauty, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois.

Composite verdict

D 30.5 / 100
Bearish setup · Trend Following 17 drivers · 2 gates blocking
  • Trendline Break
  • Aroon Oscillator
  • Vortex Signal
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 22nd of 48 in Specialty Retail

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: downtrend
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 25 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 3Mean-reversion Neutral 50
  • Late-stage trendTrend signals have been live for 72 bars — past the ~60-bar window; momentum edge decays and can reverse late in a move. (medium confidence)
Where value comes fromMargin of safety -75%
Asset value $65.21Earnings power value $258.59Price $456.13

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($258.59/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Above average

61.0 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Days Sales Outstanding 100
PEG 0
Return on Capital Employed 87
Margin of Safety 0
Cash Conversion 85
EPS Growth (YoY) 5

Technicals Bearish

0.0 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Trendline Break, Aroon Oscillator, Vortex Signal); bulls gated by guards. · 43 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Trendline Break 10
Vortex Signal 14
Aroon Oscillator 15

Risk Gates

2 blocking 5 caution

2 guards active, 14 signals gated.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Cash Ratio Caution

Visual cash-cushion flag — does not mute signals.

Current Ratio Caution

Visual liquidity flag — does not mute signals.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

Empty pane

Pick a category, above, to crack it open.

Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for ULTA.