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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

GGG / Jun 21, 2026 Run #7555

GGG

Graco Inc.

Graco Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets systems and equipment used to move, measure, mix, control, dispense, and spray fluid and powder materials in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments: Contractor, Industrial and Expansion Markets. The Contractor segment provides sprayers to apply paint to walls and other structures; two-component proportioning systems to spray polyurethane foam and polyurea coatings; viscous coatings to roofs, markings on roads, parking lots, athletic fields, and floors; and high-performance volumetric and gravimetric dispense, mixing, and shaking equipment. The Industrial segment designs and manufactures liquid finishing and advanced fluid dispensing equipment; pumps to move chemicals, petroleum, food, and other fluids; and systems, components, and accessories for the automatic lubrication of bearings, gears, and generators; supplies equipment for equipment maintenance and vehicle servicing applications, as well as make powder finishing products and complete powder finishing systems. The Expansion Markets segment manufactures pumps for use in the semiconductor industry; high pressure and ultra-high-pressure valves used in the oil and natural gas industry; and environmental monitoring and remediation equipment that is used to conduct ground water sampling, ground water remediation, and for landfill liquid and gas management. Graco Inc. was incorporated in 1926 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

Composite verdict

D 31.5 / 100
Bearish setup · Reversal 11 drivers · 3 gates blocking
  • Fibonacci Retracement
  • Keltner Channels
  • Pin Bar
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 42nd of 79 in Specialty Industrial Machinery

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: downtrend
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 21 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 4Mean-reversion Neutral 47
  • Late-stage trendTrend signals have been live for 65 bars — past the ~60-bar window; momentum edge decays and can reverse late in a move. (medium confidence)
Where value comes fromMargin of safety -74%
Asset value $15.99Earnings power value $37.80Price $76.03

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($37.80/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Above average

62.9 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Payout Ratio 94
Margin of Safety 0
FCF Margin 92
Inventory Turnover 0
Return on Assets 84
Cash Conversion Cycle 0

Technicals Bearish

0.1 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Fibonacci Retracement, Williams %R, Keltner Channels); bulls gated by guards. · 43 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Fibonacci Retracement 18
Keltner Channels 24
Williams %R 24

Risk Gates

3 blocking 5 caution

3 guards active, 18 signals gated.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Cash Ratio Caution

Visual cash-cushion flag — does not mute signals.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

Empty pane

Pick a category, above, to crack it open.

Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for GGG.