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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

HLLY / Jun 22, 2026 Run #7571

HLLY

Holley Inc.

Holley Inc. designs, manufactures, and distributes automotive aftermarket products to car and truck enthusiasts in the United States, Canada, and Europe. Its performance automotive products include carburetors, fuel pumps, fuel injection systems, nitrous oxide injection systems, superchargers, exhaust headers, mufflers, distributors, ignition components, engine tuners, and automotive performance plumbing products; and exhaust products, as well as shifters, converters, transmission kits, transmissions, tuners, and automotive software. The company sells its products under the Holley EFI, Holley, MSD, Simpson, EDGE, Accel, Flowmaster, Cataclean, and other brands through DTC, E-tailer, warehouse distributor, traditional retailer, automotive platforms, and jobber/installer channels. The company was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.

Composite verdict

F 28.2 / 100
Bearish setup · Trend Following 15 drivers · 6 gates blocking
  • Rate of Change
  • Elder Force Index
  • Vortex Signal
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 27th of 57 in Auto Parts

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: downtrend
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 23 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 1Mean-reversion Neutral 50
  • Late-stage trendTrend signals have been live for 74 bars — past the ~60-bar window; momentum edge decays and can reverse late in a move. (medium confidence)
Where value comes fromMargin of safety +52%
Asset value $3.73Earnings power value $1.12Price $2.48

The discount is mostly unpriced earnings power: price ($2.48) sits between asset value ($3.73) and no-growth earnings power value ($1.12).

Fundamentals Above average

56.3 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
EPS Growth (YoY) 100
OCF to Net Income 0
Margin of Safety 100
Inventory Turnover 0
EBITDA Margin 79
Cash Conversion Cycle 0

Technicals Bearish

0.0 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Rate of Change, Elder Force Index, Vortex Signal); bulls gated by guards. · 43 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Rate of Change 3
Elder Force Index 9
Vortex Signal 11

Risk Gates

6 blocking 5 caution

6 guards active, 17 signals gated.

Altman Z-Score Blocking

Bottom-band Altman Z blocks bullish signals — distress risk.

Interest Coverage Blocking

Weak interest coverage blocks bullish signals — debt-service risk.

LT Debt-to-Equity Blocking

High long-term D/E blocks bullish signals — structural-leverage risk.

Net Debt / EBITDA Blocking

High net debt / EBITDA blocks bullish signals — credit-leverage risk.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for HLLY.