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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

AVB / Jun 22, 2026 Run #7579

AVB

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AvalonBay Communities, Inc., a member of the S&P 500, is an equity REIT. The firm develops, redevelops, acquires and manages communities in leading metropolitan areas in New England, the New York/New Jersey Metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and Northern and Southern California, as well as in the Company's expansion regions of Raleigh-Durham and Charlotte, North Carolina, Southeast Florida, Dallas and Austin, Texas, and Denver, Colorado. As of December 31, 2025, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 320 communities containing 98,694 apartment homes in 11 states and the District of Columbia, of which 24 communities were under development. AvalonBay Communities, Inc. was incorporated in 1978 in Maryland and is based in Arlington, Virginia.

Composite verdict

F 27.6 / 100
Bearish setup · Reversal 17 drivers · 3 gates blocking
  • Chaikin Money Flow
  • Accumulation/Distribution Line
  • Rate of Change
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 13th of 22 in REIT - Residential

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: range
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 21 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 12Mean-reversion Neutral 47

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -58%
Asset value $81.84Earnings power value $60.60Price $177.32

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($60.60/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Above average

55.1 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Dividend Yield 88
PEGY 0
Return on Capital Employed 75
Margin of Safety 0
Gross Margin 75
OCF to Net Income 0

Technicals Bearish

0.1 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Chaikin Money Flow, Accumulation/Distribution Line, Rate of Change); bulls gated by guards. · 43 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Accumulation/Distribution Line 8
Chaikin Money Flow 8
Elder Force Index 11

Risk Gates

3 blocking 10 caution

3 guards active, 17 signals gated.

Net Debt / EBITDA Blocking

High net debt / EBITDA blocks bullish signals — credit-leverage risk.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Altman Z-Score Caution

Bottom-band Altman Z blocks bullish signals — distress risk.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

Empty pane

Pick a category, above, to crack it open.

Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for AVB.