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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

NGVC / Jun 22, 2026 Run #7657

NGVC

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, retails natural and organic groceries, and dietary supplements in the United States. The company's stores offer natural and organic grocery products, such as organic produce; private label repackaged bulk products, including dried fruits, nuts, grains, granolas, teas, herbs, and spices, as well as peanut and almond butters; private label products comprising grocery staples, household products, bulk foods, and vitamins and dietary supplements, as well as organic eggs, organic flavored coffee, and organic mustard; dry, frozen, and canned groceries; meat and seafood products; dairy products, dairy substitutes, and eggs; prepared foods; bread and baked products; beverages; and beer, wine, and hard cider products. Its stores also provide name-brand supplements, as well as private label dietary supplements; body care products consisting of cosmetics, skin care, hair care, fragrance, and personal care products containing natural and organic ingredients; pet care and food products; household and general merchandise, including cleaning supplies, paper products, and dish and laundry soaps, as well as other common household products, such as diapers; and books and handouts. The company operates its retail stores under the Natural Grocers, Vitamin Cottage, Health Hotline, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage trademark, as well as Vitamin Cottage Natural Grocers and Health Hotline trademarks. The company also offers science-based nutrition education programs to help customers make informed health and nutrition choices. The company was formerly known as Vitamin Cottage Natural Food Markets, Inc. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.

Composite verdict

A 84.2 / 100
Bullish setup · Reversal 9 drivers · 4 gates blocking
  • Double 7s
  • Relative Strength vs SPY
  • Fibonacci Retracement
Consider long call target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bullish setup, Grade A → ITM call target

Industry rank 1st of 13 in Grocery Stores

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: range
Bull 100%Evidence: High · 17 signals0% Bear
Momentum Bullish 92Mean-reversion Neutral 58

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -59%
Asset value $9.22Earnings power value $24.30Price $30.11

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($24.30/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Above average

68.4 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Days Sales Outstanding 100
Margin of Safety 0
EPS Growth (YoY) 100
Cash Conversion 3
Greenblatt ROC 88
P/S Ratio 25

Technicals Bullish

100.0 / 100

Bullish setup leads (Double 7s, Relative Strength vs SPY, Fibonacci Retracement); bears gated by guards. · 43 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Double 7s 89
Relative Strength vs SPY 87
Vortex Signal 81

Risk Gates

4 blocking 4 caution

4 guards active, 25 signals gated.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Breakdown

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for NGVC.