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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

UFCS / Jun 22, 2026 Run #7669

UFCS

United Fire Group, Inc.

United Fire Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in writing property and casualty insurance in the United States. It provides property and casualty insurance, and surety bonds; and fire and allied lines, other liability, automobile, workers' compensation, and surety to small business owners and middle market businesses operating in industries, such as construction, services, retail trade, financial, and manufacturing. The company also offers marine specialty, professional liability, and earthquake coverages; specialty and surplus lines coverage; and reinsurance coverage for property and casualty insurance. It sells its products through a network of independent agencies. United Fire Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Cedar Rapids, Iowa.

Composite verdict

B 74.5 / 100
Bullish setup · Trend Following 11 drivers · 2 gates blocking
  • Coppock Curve
  • Vortex Signal
  • Rate of Change
Consider long call target Δ ~0.60 · ~35 DTE Bullish setup, Grade B → ITM call target

Industry rank 12th of 46 in Insurance - Property & Casualty

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: uptrend
Bull 100%Evidence: High · 24 signals0% Bear
Momentum Bullish 99Mean-reversion Neutral 51

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -22%
Asset value $36.68Earnings power value $59.64Price $48.29

The discount is mostly unpriced earnings power: price ($48.29) sits between asset value ($36.68) and no-growth earnings power value ($59.64).

Fundamentals Mixed

49.1 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
EPS Growth (YoY) 100
OCF to Net Income 0
Free Cash Flow Yield 100
Cash Conversion 0
EV/FCF 75
Days Sales Outstanding 0

Technicals Bullish

100.0 / 100

Bullish setup leads (Coppock Curve, Vortex Signal, Rate of Change); bears gated by guards. · 43 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Rate of Change 86
Relative Strength vs SPY 86
Coppock Curve 85

Risk Gates

2 blocking 3 caution

2 guards active, 17 signals gated.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

ADX Trend Weakness Weak-trend caution

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

Earnings Event Blackout Caution

Mutes all technical signals within the earnings announcement window when earnings dates are available.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for UFCS.