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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

ORC / Jun 22, 2026 Run #7695

ORC

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a specialty finance company, invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the United States. The company's RMBS is backed by single-family residential mortgage loans, referred to as Agency RMBS. Its portfolio comprises traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations; and structured Agency RMBS, including interest only securities, inverse interest only securities, and principal only securities. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) for the United States federal income tax purposes. As a result, it would not be subject to corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to stockholders, if it annually distributes dividends equal to at least 90% of its REIT taxable income to its shareholders. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Vero Beach, Florida.

Composite verdict

D 32.9 / 100
Bearish setup · Trend Following 16 drivers · 3 gates blocking
  • Engulfing
  • Trendline Break
  • ADX DI Cross
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 17th of 39 in REIT - Mortgage

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: volatile range
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 21 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 3Mean-reversion Neutral 49

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety +23%
Asset value $6.84Earnings power value $15.79Price $6.70

Trading below its asset value ($6.84/share) — deep value, but check for a melting balance sheet.

Fundamentals Above average

65.8 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Free Cash Flow Yield 100
Payout Ratio 0
Margin of Safety 90
Dividend Yield 0
Total Shareholder Yield 83
EPS Growth (YoY) 0

Technicals Bearish

0.0 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Engulfing, Trendline Break, ADX DI Cross); bulls gated by guards. · 43 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Trendline Break 13
Engulfing 18
Chaikin Money Flow 20

Risk Gates

3 blocking 3 caution

3 guards active, 18 signals gated.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Sloan Ratio Caution

Visual accruals-quality flag — does not mute signals.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for ORC.